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What makes AI models cite a source

Controlled tests by Sympha Foresight in which AI models chose which sources to cite. These are model experiments, not live search-engine measurements.

Citability scorecard predicts AI citation choices

In a controlled Sympha Foresight test across 172 real sources and 35 queries, a citability scorecard predicted which sources AI models chose to cite, with AUC 0.803 (GPT-4o-mini) and 0.896 (Claude Sonnet).

Google ranking does not predict citability

In the same research, a source's high Google ranking did not correlate with high citability.

Reputation does not beat substance

In a 216-vote controlled test, reputation cues did not change which sources AI models chose to cite. Substance drove citation, not brand fame.

Brand placement in quotable sentences

In controlled tests, putting the brand name inside the quotable claim sentence raised named-in-answer attribution by 5.5 percentage points.

Single rewrite beats multi-agent deliberation

In controlled tests, one substance-grounded rewrite beat multi-agent deliberation for citability (multi-agent scored −0.096 with zero wins in five paired tests).

Held-out test: substance-grounded rewrite wins

In a held-out controlled test, one substance-grounded rewrite raised multi-model citation win-rate by +0.44 (31 paired wins, zero losses).

See how these findings apply to your site: Sympha Foresight →